| Tech
Univ of Darmstadt (Germany) Univ of Alabama Tuscaloosa (USA) Univ of Cape Town (South Africa) University of Guelph (Canada) |
U of Guelph website -
course outline for UAT 491/691 Special problems in wet weather flow management UoG05661 Urban stormwater management UoG05662 Water pollution control planning |
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| Note copyright and disclaimer restrictions. | © Wm James
2002 | Questions? | Updated
02/01/27 | |
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| 05-661 Urban stormwater management is a graduate
engineering course, comprising the six odd-numbered modules: 1.continuous
stormwater management models and model structure (SWMM and PCSWMM); 3.GIS data management, model complexity, catchment discretization and
process disaggregation (PCSWMMGIS); 5.routing in complex,
looped, partially surcharged pipe/channel networks (SWMM-EXTRAN); 7.pollutant build-up, washoff and transport (SWMM-RUNOFF, -TRANS);
9.pollutant removal in sewer networks, storage facilities and
treatment plants (DETPOND); 11.Sewer network designs for
the future; appropriate technologies for wastewater in urban infrastructure. More info is provided in module 0. 05-662 Water pollution control planning (for UCT students, CIV530Z is a programme of individual study on a specialized topic - examination by report/s and possibly an oral) is a graduate engineering course, comprising the six even-numbered modules below: 2. philosophy underlying public water pollution; 4. methods of developing area-wide pollution control plans and sustainable use plans in Ontario and elsewhere; 6. introduction to BMPs and the SLAMM model; 8. introduction to the WASP model; 10. Urban litter in drainage systems; 12. examination of quantitative and non-quantitative information in the context of planning. No field trips are planned for Jan-Apr 2000. More info is provided in module 0. |
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Current modules in this website are for January to April 2002. |
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module 4 Developing area-wide pollution control plans and sustainable use plans in Ontario and elsewhere (based on "Integrated watershed management - principles and practice" by Isobel Heathcote) contents
Pedagogic note: Learning objectives for this module include understanding the basic steps involved in developing area-wide pollution control plans, and sustainable use plans. The methodology has many local limitations imposed on it by real politics, limited financial resources, and other jurisdictional and educational constraints. I regret that this module is still incomplete (but already too long). It attempts to cover some of the principles and practice of integrated watershed management. As you read the concepts you should conceptually apply them to a local water pollution control problem - select a good local problem of interest to you, one with reasonably good access to the facts (therefore you should start this module by first reading the suggested requirements for assignment A4). In this module you would probably wish to spend more time on the assignment than on the required reading within the module. Local data gathering will be a big effort and one that you will have to somehow control (invent reasonable data for the purposes of the assignment rather than lose time gathering it). You are required to summarize the main points of your potential interest in this topic, and present potential applications to problems in your area, so some local photographs embedded in your web page will be extremely helpful. Source: Most of the ideas in this module have been abstracted from "Integrated watershed management - principles and practice" by Isobel Heathcote, pub. by Wiley 1998 (ISBN 0-471-18338-5).Introduction: Integrated watershed management is not a very new idea. A useful first introduction is available on the net at http://www.epa.gov/OWOW/watershed/wacademy/acad2000/watershedmgt/index.html About this module, Isobel Heathcote writes: "Regarding emphasis, my bottom line is that watershed planning/management is VALUE-LADEN - i.e. there is no Book o Science that will give you the answers to what problem(s) need to be fixed. Watershed managers have to talk to their constituents and determine priorities - a problem for one group may not be a problem for another. Consensus building is a big item here."Once youve got watershed priorities straight, you run up against the reality of model data demands and (Bill's favourite) uncertainty of predictions (not to mention [uncertainty of] the original data!). The water manager therefore has to make conscious trade-offs between costs and detail (level of certainty?) in predictions. Again, these are often coloured if not dictated by values, not science. "At the beginning of my book I quote Bruce Bishop, formerly of the Corps of Engineers, who says that watershed management is simply a framework for achieving social change - I like that idea very much - youre not working toward any fixed scientific point but rather along a continuum of values." In Bill's words, the procedure is inherently fuzzy, and lacks predictably. Never use the term predict for your model output - the results are simply computed. Predicted implies some degree of certainty. Be honest with yourself, and say computed not predicted. Now go read the requirements for assignment A4. Water is not just a resource that we have inherited from our ancestors, or share with our neighbours, it is one that we borrow from our children. It is precious because it regulates human populations, determines our living standards, and controls biodiversity. All countries have adopted national policies on the wise use, management and conservation of water as their framework for planning and implementation. Nevertheless they all continue to impair the beneficial uses of their water. Clearly we must learn to manage water as an integrated system on a watershed basis, and thereby consider all biophysical, social and economic factors affecting water use (it was Jan Christiaan Smuts who, more than 3 generations ago, originally coined the term "holistic" to describe this view). Successful watershed planning requires prior establishment of jurisdictions, institutions, agencies, regulations, technical expertise, authority, and implementation frameworks. It requires consideration of other media than water, for instance, air, sediment and biological tissue. The public and all relevant agencies must be involved in management decisions. In North America there are differences between for example the USA and Canada, and aspects of the planning procedure work better in some places than others. [Questions for your review: Does this system in your opinion work well in the area where you live? What developments do you feel are necessary before it works well? Is the public empowered and informed, to your satisfaction? Chances are they are not, because like everyone else, as you yourself become better informed, your expectations change.] A watershed plan represents a community's vision of an ideal watershed, which is a shifting goal, and never final. Comprehensive management calls for a watershed plan that takes into account all uses that affect water flow and quality, and thus requires complete information about the watershed's water budget. A model capable of revealing the full range of impacts from all potential uses and developments should be applied. Models require similar basic input: 1. the physical geometry of the watershed and its principal hydraulic features, 2. climatic time series, 3. soils and infiltration, 4. groundwater, 5. streamflow time series, 6. water quality time series, 7. land use, and 8. land and aquatic animal communities. Further considerations involve: 9. social and economic systems, and 10. features and activities of local value. The following suggestions are made to help you delve into the local problem which you will need to describe to complete assignment A4. 1. What is the surficial geology and geomorphology of the area? Describe the rocks and the character of the overlying soils. Search the websites of the Geological Survey of your country. Obtain a topographic map of the area, in digital form. The contour interval required depends upon the scale of the problem, but the finer the better. Satellite imagery nowadays results in excellent coverage of all parts of the earth. 2. Hydrometeorological time series needed include rain, snow, evapo-transpiration, temperature and wind. For many countries the data available are summarised on the respective national weather service's web pages. 3. Information about soil types and their infiltration characteristics are generally available from soils maps produced by the soil surveys usually in the national department of agriculture. Again the relevant web page is a good first source. Also there will be a University with a Faculty of Agriculture and their local Dept. of Agricultural Engineering will be helpful. They will tell you what the best estimates of the Green and Ampt infiltration parameters are likely to be. 4. Streamflow data are also collected, archived and published by a national government department, generally with a title like "Water Survey". Websites will be useful; you will usually need a complete time series for all the gauging stations in and near your study area. 5. Groundwater table information is essential for most model simulations. Groundwater quality information is also essential for your own planning purposes. Usually groundwater has high clarity and contains dissolved minerals. Sources of groundwater information are more difficult to generalise, and local knowledge may be essential. 6. Water quality impacts all aspects of watershed planning, such as fishing, swimming and boating, domestic and industrial water supplies, irrigation and livestock watering, waste disposal and aesthetic values. Turbidity, settleable solids, conductivity, hardness, water temperature, dissolved oxygen, nutrients, heavy metals, trace organic compounds, bacteria, and other parasites are all important enough to warrant investigation and discussion. In our area E coli, giardia, and cryptosporidium have been important. Schistosomiasis may also be significant in your area. This is a huge subject with unlimited web resources. For an intriguing discussion of various harmful life forms in Australian urban drains, click here. 7. An inventory of watershed biota strikes me as extremely hard field work: determine the number and types of plant and animal species present in the watershed, estimate the number of individuals of each species, and investigate the interrelationships between the species and their abiotic environment. From this work various indices of biodiversity can be computed. If you are a lazy, old-fashioned civil engineer like me, then it's mandatory that you get help from an energetic, informed biologist (or a clever engineer like Prof. Bob Pitt!). 8. Land use is what this overall planning exercise is all about, and this information can be readily mapped as a GIS layer on the watershed map, using recent air photography, and field inspections. Typically rather few land use categories are used in modelling (as opposed to the planning/zoning process, where very large numbers of categories are used). For example the following is a listing of about 20 land use categories in increasing pollution potency: 1. rural pre-agricultural; 2. mixed forest; 3. agric cropland; 4. agric rangeland; 5. woodlots; 6. plantations; 7. parkland; 8. low density residential; 9. medium density residential; 10. high density residential; 11. parking lots; 12. commercial; 13. light industrial; 14. heavy industrial; 15. bulk storage; 16. shopping plazas; 17. roads; and 18. highways. 9 and 10. Ultimately critical to the success or failure of a watershed plan, are social, economic and aesthetic systems. They must be inventoried by wide ranging discussion among all parties who have a say. Problem definition and scoping Of course we all agree that the planning process begins by defining the "problems" to be resolved. Are there methodologies for reaching agreement on which "problems" should be ranked at the top? Perhaps. Here is one suggestion: 1. Problems may be thought of as impairments of beneficial uses. 2. Thus if we have a view of the ideal set of beneficial uses then 3. a comparison with existing uses will 4. reveal how the potential uses are impaired. We need to evaluate the disparity between (a) the vision of the ideal watershed and (b) existing conditions. The process starts when both have been listed. For the purposes of this part of these notes we simply list below typical uses of water under various categories:
(Source: NRA 1933a) [Suggestion for your review: add uses and categories from your experience in your own area.] Of course expected water quality differs for each type of use, and every country has its own water quality objectives. The Province of Ontario's water quality objectives can be downloaded from: http://www.ene.gov.on.ca/envision/gp/3303e.pdf [For the project chosen for your assignment, suggest a list of relevant water quality constituents, and then check the stated objectives for the area where you live. How do yours compare with ours? What is the reason for the difference, do you think?] The process of determining which uses require priority intervention is called "scoping". Steps include:
Increasingly, public involvment is seen to be necessary, because social change inherent in watershed planning will not occur unless the community affected agrees that such change is necessary. Thus all members of the affected community must be heard, and a consensus built, whereby the majority view is reflected in the proposed change. Principles of public involvment are available in several specialized texts, and the Isobel Heathcote's textbook used for this module provides a good summary. Much is yet to be said (it seems to me) about the use of the web and Internet in the consultation process, however [this might be a good topic for your consideration in your assignment for this module]. Very often participants have a prior position on some issues, and may promote them vigorously, making a fair hearing time-consuming. Many texts are available for such dispute resolution, and recourse to a specialist may reduce tension. In Ontario we are lucky to have a number of specialists with experience in resolving water environment conflicts. Developing workable management options In this section we review stormwater best management practices (BMPs). Be careful - there is a semi-infinite number of pollution control BMPs and also there is an overwhelming number of lists of BMPs. Useful lists are probably available for your area, and they make a starting point for your own list of options for your particular study problem. The next module (M6) will have much more to say about this, and further info is also provided in course 661 modules M9 and M11. The Ontario Ministry of Environment and Energy page on stormwater planning and design practices provides their entire Stormwater Management Planning and Design Manual and is almost too long to read (you will need Adobe's pdf software). You can find a draft of the entire manual at: http://www.ene.gov.on.ca/envision/env_reg/er/documents/stormwatermanual/index.htm The material below is taken from my undergraduate page on this topic (written about 4 or 5 y ago; original is at: http://www.eos.uoguelph.ca/webfiles/james/homepage/Teaching/437/wj437Module11b.htm) POLLUTION CONTROL OPTIONS Contents:
3. Review selected readings on particular BMPs: If you do not have time to do the search, here are a few examples of further readings:
4. Additional reading: Caution: You are NOT required to read all this material! It is offered here as course enrichment - please do not consider that this material is required or necessary. You are invited to dip into it to learn more details: when you click here you get a list of the illustrations and can select individual items, or you can choose to step through any or all of the six entire presentations. Most of the following presentations are available in a better format at CHI's HongKong seminar site.
Literature on multiobjective decision-making techniques is extensive. You probably applied them in your undergrad curriculum. Many case studies are available in textbooks and government reports. Steps involve: 1. development of constraints (e.g. maximum allowable cost); 2. choosing evaluation criteria (e.g. minimum cost); 3. choosing the weights for each criterium (e.g. 40%); 4. scaling the result (e.g. theoretical maximum of 100). 5. And of course the methodology is subjective and produces lively debate which must be reconciled. Your textbooks, research reports and websites give examples for water pollution control planning. Contrariwise, I cite an example here that could hardly cause more argument among this class: ranking the "best" graduate engineering schools (this analysis for the USA). Click on: http://www.usnews.com/usnews/edu/beyond/gradrank/eng/gdengt1.htm Note how they use about twelve criteria, and scale the "best" school to produce a score of 100. The methodology is described at: http://www.usnews.com/usnews/edu/beyond/gradrank/gbengmet.htm Another way of doing this is to reverse the process: first choose whatever school you wish to be your best school, and then try to manipulate the weights and criteria to produce the result that is acceptable to you. Naturally it would then remain for you to convince your readers that the final ranking is reasonable. In our example, US News will have to convince readers that the biggest grad school (PhDs per faculty) with the biggest research grants and the lowest acceptance rate necessarily implies the best grad school experience. Notice that issues important to individuals such as personal safety, local housing, public transit, quality of grad course offerings, are not included in the USNews analysis. Given the statistics, however, I guess many of us would agree that US grad schools can be impressive. This part of this module overlaps with module 7 (course 661), so if you are doing the latter you get a chance to read the complete material. Here we should cover the various methods of estimating pollutant loads in stormwater. Empirical methods for estimating stormwater quality are of course approximate, being based on field data, which is notoriously sparse. The methods are known as "approximate" or "simple" methods. Isobel's book contains a useful summary of approximate methods based on fitting curves to observed data. Some methods assume correlations with rain as opposed to build up, even though this is widely supposed to be erroneous. For the purposes of this course, we can afford to eschew simple methods, since they are easy for you to pick up later. We restrict ourselves here to the well-known method used in SWMM RUNOFF. Thus in this section I have cut and paste material originally written by Wayne Huber for the SWMM documentation, but somewhat edited for the version of the manuals which I produce locally for my students. Hence the figure, table and equation numbers. Of course the material is for SWMM simulation and unnecessarily specialized, and should be read selectively. My intention here is to show that even these so-called detailed methods are based on noisy observations, and have more unexplained variance than they have determinism - see for example Figure 4-34. Non-linear buildup of street solids. Note that the inherent uncertainty is not reported in SWMM computed results.Thus sensitivity, calibration and error analysis (SCEA) ought to be an important part of modelling. Instead of covering SCEA in detail on this page (it already takes too long to load), use this link to an unfinished, preliminary, draft booklet on SCEA for SWMM modelling. ----excerpts from SWMM manual starts (I have made numerous cuts and simplifications in what follows): Simulation of urban runoff quality is very inexact. The many difficulties of simulation of urban runoff quality are discussed by Huber (1985, 1986) [*References not yet added to this page - they are available in Bill's version of the manuals - written 00.01.25]. Very large uncertainties arise both in the representation of the physical, chemical, biological [and sociological] processes and in the acquisition of data and parameters for model algorithms. The true mechanisms of buildup involve factors such as wind, traffic, atmospheric fallout, land surface activities, erosion, street cleaning and other imponderables. Although efforts have been made to include such factors in physically-based equations (James and Boregowda, 1985), it is unrealistic to assume that they can be represented with enough accuracy to determine a priori the amount of pollutants on the surface at the beginning of the storm. Equally naive is the idea that empirical washoff equations truly represent the complex hydrodynamic [and chemical and biological] processes that occur while overland flow moves in random patterns over the land surface. Such uncertainties can be dealt with in two ways. The first option is to collect enough calibration and verification data to calibrate the model equations used for quality simulation. Given sufficient data, the equations used in SWMM can usually be manipulated to reproduce observed concentrations and loads. This is essentially the option discussed at length in the following sections. The second option is to abandon the notion of detailed quality simulation altogether and use either (a) a constant concentration applied to quantity predictions (i.e., obtain storm loads by multiplying computed volumes by an assumed concentration) (Johansen et al., 1984) or (b) a statistical method (Hydroscience, 1979; Driscoll and Assoc., 1981; EPA, 1983b; DiToro, 1984). Two ways in which constant concentrations can be simulated in SWMM are by using a rating curve with an exponent of 1.0 or by assigning a concentration to rainfall. Statistical methods are based in part upon strong evidence that storm event mean concentrations (EMCs) are lognormally distributed (Driscoll, 1986). The statistical methods recognize the frustrations of physically-based modeling and move directly to a stochastic result (e.g. a frequency distribution of EMCs), but they are even more dependent on available data than methods such as those found in SWMM. That is, statistical parameters such as mean, median and variance must be available from prior information. Furthermore, it is harder to study the effect of controls and catchment modifications using statistical methods. The main point is that there are alternatives to the approaches used in SWMM; the latter can involve extensive effort at parameter estimation and model calibration to produce quality predictions that may vary greatly from an unknown "reality." Before delving into the arcane methods incorporated in SWMM and other urban runoff quality simulation models, you should try to determine whether or not the effort will be worth it in view of the uncertainties of the process and whether or not simpler alternative methods might suffice. The discussions that follow provide a comprehensive view of the options available in SWMM, which are more than in almost any other comparable model in the public domain, but the extent of the discussion should not be interpreted as a guarantee of success in applying the methods. Overview of Quality Procedures Methods for estimation of urban runoff quality constituents are reviewed extensively by Huber (1985, 1986). Many constituents can appear in either dissolved or solid forms (e.g. BOD, nitrogen, phosphorus) and may be adsorbed onto other constituents (e.g. pesticides onto "solids") and thus be generated as a portion of such other constituents. To treat this situation, any constituent may be computed as a fraction ("potency factor") of another. For instance, 5% of the suspended solids load could be added to the (soluble) BOD load. Or several particle size - specific gravity ranges could be generated, with other constituents consisting of fractions of each. When channel/pipes (links) are included, quality constituents are routed through them assuming complete mixing within each gutter/pipe (link) at each time step. Scour, deposition or decay-interaction during routing is simulated in the TRANS module and not at all in the RUNOFF Module. Output consists of pollutographs (concentrations versus time) at desired locations along with total loads, and flow-weighted concentration means and standard deviations. In addition, summaries are printed for each constituent describing its overall mass balance for the simulation for the total catchment, i.e., sources, removals, etc. These summaries are the most useful output for continuous simulation runs. Quality Simulation Credibility Although the conceptualization of the quality processes is not difficult, the reliability and credibility of quality parameter simulation is very difficult to establish. In fact, quality predictions are almost useless without local data for calibration and validation. If such data are lacking, results may still be used to compare relative effects of changes, but parameter magnitudes (e.g. computed concentrations) will forever be in doubt. This is in marked contrast to quantity prediction for which reasonable estimates of hydrographs may be made in advance of calibration. Moreover, there is disagreement in the literature as to what are the important and appropriate physical and chemical mechanisms that should be included in a model to generate surface runoff quality. The objective in the RUNOFF Module has been to provide flexibility in mechanisms and the opportunity for calibration. But this places a considerable burden on you to obtain adequate data for model usage and to be familiar with quality mechanisms that may apply to the catchment being studied. This burden is all too often ignored, leading ultimately to model results being discredited. In the end then, there is no substitute for local data, that is, observed rain, flow and concentrations, with which to calibrate and verify the quality predictions. Without such data, little reliability can be placed in the computed magnitudes of quality parameters. Required Degree of Temporal Detail In most applications, detail is unnecessary because the receiving waters cannot respond to rapid changes in concentration or loads. Instead, only the total storm event load is necessary for most studies of receiving water quality. Time scales for the response of various receiving waters are presented in Table 4-17 (Driscoll, 1979; Hydroscience, 1979). Concentration transients occurring within a storm event are unlikely to affect any common quality parameter within the receiving water, with the possible exception of bacteria. The only time that detailed temporal concentration variations might be needed within a storm event is when they might affect control alternatives. For example, a storage device may need to trap the "first flush" of pollutants. Table 4-17. Required Temporal Detail for Receiving Water Analysis.. Required Temporal Detail, Receiving Water Analysis. (Driscoll, 1979; Hydroscience, 1979)
The significant point is that calibration and verification ordinarily need only be performed on total storm event loads, or on event mean concentrations. This is a much easier task than trying to match detailed concentration transients within a storm event. It is I think central to the approach taken in SLAMM (see module 6). The number and choice of constituents to be simulated must reflect your needs, potential for treatment and receiving water impacts, etc. Almost any constituent measured by common laboratory or field tests can be included in SWMM-RUNOFF, up to a total of ten. Each subcatchment must be assigned only one of up to five user-supplied land uses. The number of the land use is used as a program subscript, so at least one land use data must be entered. Street sweeping is a function of land use and constituent (discussed subsequently). Constituent buildup may be a function of land use depending on the type of buildup calculation specified for each. BuildupOne of the most influential of the early studies of stormwater pollution was conducted in Chicago by the American Public Works Association (1969). As part of this project, street surface accumulation of "dust and dirt" (DD) (anything passing through a quarter inch mesh screen) was measured by sweeping with brooms and vacuum cleaners. The accumulations were measured for different land uses and curb length, and the data were normalized in terms of pounds of dust and dirt per dry day per 100 ft of curb or gutter. These well-known results are shown in Table 4-18 and imply that dust and dirt buildup is a linear function of time. The dust and dirt samples were analyzed chemically, and the fraction of sample consisting of various constituents for each of four land uses was determined, leading to the results shown in Table 4-19. Table 4-18. Measured Dust and Dirt (DD) Accumulation in Chicago by the APWA in 1969 (APWA, 1969).
From the values shown in Tables 4-18 and 4-19, the buildup of each constituent (also linear with time) can be computed simply by multiplying dust and dirt by the appropriate fraction. Of course, the whole buildup idea essentially ignores the physics of generation of pollutants from sources such as street pavement, vehicles, atmospheric fallout, vegetation, land surfaces, litter, spills, anti-skid compounds and chemicals, construction, and drainage networks. Lager et al. (1977a) and James and Boregowda (1985) consider each source in turn and give guidance on buildup rates. But the rates that are (optionally) entered into the RUNOFF Module only reflect the aggregate of all sources. Available Studies The 1969 APWA study (APWA, 1969) was followed by several more efforts, notably AVCO (1970) reporting extensive data from Tulsa, Sartor and Boyd (1972) reporting a cross section of data from ten US cities, and Shaheen (1975) reporting data for highways in the Washington, D.C. area. Pitt and Amy (1973) followed the Sartor and Boyd (1972) study with an analysis of heavy metals on street surfaces from the same ten US cities. More recently, Pitt (1979) reports on extensive data gathered both on the street surface and in runoff for San Jose. A drawback of the earlier studies is that it is difficult to draw conclusions from them on the relationship between street surface accumulation and stormwater concentrations since the two were seldom measured simultaneously. Amy et al. (1975) provide a summary of data available in 1974 while Lager et al. (1977a) provide a similar function as of 1977 without the extensive data tabulations given by Amy et al. Perhaps the most comprehensive summary of surface accumulation and pollutant fraction data is provided by Manning et al. (1977) in which the many problems and facets of sampling and measurements are also discussed. For instance, some data are obtained by sweeping, others by flushing; the particle size characteristics and degree of removal from the street surface differ for each method. Some results of Manning et al. (1977) will be illustrated later. Surface accumulation data may be gleaned, somewhat less directly, from references on loading functions that include McElroy et al. (1976), Heaney et al. (1977) and Huber et al. (1981a). Ammon (1979) summarized many of these and other studies, specifically in regard to application to SWMM. For instance, there is evidence to suggest several buildup relationships as alternatives to the linear one, and these relationships may change with the constituent being considered. Upper limits for buildup are also likely. Several options for both buildup and washoff are investigated by Ammon, and his results are partially the basis for formulations in this version of SWMM. Jewell et al. (1980) also provide a useful critique of methods available for simulation of surface runoff quality and ultimately suggest statistical analysis as the proper alternative. Many of the problems and weakness with extensive data and present modeling formulations are pointed out by Sonnen (1980) along with guidelines for future research. To summarize, many studies and voluminous data exist with which to formulate buildup relationships, most of which are purely empirical and data-based, ignoring the underlying physics and chemistry of the generation processes. Nonetheless, they represent what is available, and modeling techniques in SWMM are designed to accommodate them in their heuristic form. Buildup Formulations Most data, as will be seen, imply linear buildup since they are given in units such as lb/ac-day or lb/100 ft curb-day. The Chicago data that were used in the original SWMM formulation assumed a linear buildup. However, there is ample evidence that buildup can be nonlinear; Sartor and Boyd's (1972) data are most often cited as examples (Figure 4-34). More recent data from Pitt (Figure 4-35) for San Jose indicate almost linear accumulation, although some of the best fit lines indicated in the figure had very poor correlation coefficients, ranging from 0.35 <= r <= 0.9. Even in data collected as carefully as in the San Jose study, the scatter (not shown in the report) is considerable. Thus, the choice of the best functional form is not obvious. Whipple et al. (1977) have criticized the linear buildup formulation included in SWMM, although it is somewhat irrelevant since you may insert your own desired initial loads, calculated by whatever procedure desired. However, this is a useful option only for single-event simulation. The choice of the functional form must ultimately
be your responsibility. The program provides three options for dust and dirt buildup and
three for individual constituents, namely: 1. power-linear, 2. exponential, or 3.
Michaelis-Menton. Figure 4-34. Non-linear buildup of street solids. (After Sartor and Boyd, 1972, p. 206.) Linear buildup is simply a subset of a power function buildup. The shapes of the three functions are compared in Figure 4-36 using the dust and dirt parameters as examples, and a strictly arbitrary assignment of numerical values to the parameters. Exponential and Michaelis-Menton functions have clearly defined asymptotes or upper limits. Upper limits for linear or power function buildup may be imposed if desired. "Instantaneous buildup" may be easily achieved using any of the formulation with appropriate parameter choices. For instance, if it were desired to always have a fixed amount of dust and dirt available, DDLIM, at the beginning of any storm event (i.e., after any dry time step during continuous simulation), then linear buildup could be used with DDPOW = 1.0 and DDFACT equal to a large number ³ DDLIM/DELT. Linear buildup is fastest in terms of computer time. Figure 4-35. Buildup of street solids in San Jose. (After Pitt, 1979, p. 29.) It is apparent in Figure 4-36 that different options may be used to accomplish the same objective (e.g. nonlinear buildup); the choice may well be made on the basis of available data to which one of the other functional forms have been fit. If an asymptotic form is desired, either the exponential or Michaelis-Menton option may be used depending upon ease of comprehension of the parameters. For instance, for exponential buildup the exponent (i.e., DDPOW for dust and dirt of QFACT(2,K) for a constituent) is the familiar exponential decay constant. It may be obtained from the slope of a semi-log plot of buildup versus time. As a numerical example, if its value were 0.4 day-1, then it would take 5.76 days to reach 90 percent of the maximum buildup (see Figure 4-36). Figure 4-36. Comparison of linear and three non-linear buildup equations. Dust and dirt, DD is used as an example. Numerical values have been chosen arbitrarily.For Michaelis-Menton buildup the parameter DDFACT for dust and dirt (or QFACT(3,K) for a constituent) has the interpretation of the half-time constant, that is, the time at which buildup is half of the maximum (asymptotic) value. For instance, DD = 50 lb at t = 0.9 days for curve 4 in Figure 4-36. If the asymptotic value is known or estimated, the half-time constant may be obtained from buildup data from the slope of a plot of DD versus t . (DDLIM- DD), using dust and dirt as an example. Generally, the Michaelis-Menton formulation will rise steeply (in fact, linearly for small t) and then approach the asymptote slowly. The power function may be easily adjusted to resemble asymptotic behavior, but it must always ultimately exceed the maximum value (if used). The parameters are readily found from a log-log plot of buildup versus time. This is a common way of analyzing data, (e.g. Miller et al., 1978; Ammon, 1979; Smolenyak, 1979; Jewell et al., 1980; Wallace, 1980). Prior to the beginning of the simulation, buildup occurs over DRYDAY days for both single event and continuous simulation. During the simulation, buildup will occur during dry time steps (runoff less than 0.0005 in./hr or 0.013 mm/hr) only for continuous simulation. For a given constituent, buildup may be computed: 1. as a fraction of dust and dirt, or 2. individually for the constituent. If the first option is used then the rate of buildup will depend upon the fraction and the functional form used for a given land use. In other words, the functional form could vary with land use for a given constituent. If the second option is used (1 £ KALC £ 3) the buildup function will be the same for all land uses (and subcatchments) for a given constituent. Of course, each constituent may use any of the options. Catchment characteristics (i.e., area or gutter length) may be included through the use of parameters JACGUT or KACGUT. Buildup Data Data with which to evaluate buildup parameters are available in most of the references cited earlier under "available studies." Manning et al. (1977) have perhaps the best summary of linear buildup rates; these are presented in tables in the SWMM documentation. It may be noted that dust and dirt buildup varies considerably among three different studies. Individual constituent buildup may be taken conveniently as a fraction of dust and dirt. It is apparent that although a large number of constituents have been sampled, little distinction can be made on the basis of land uses for most of them. WashoffWashoff is the process of erosion or solution of constituents from a subcatchment surface during a period of runoff. It the water depth is more than a few millimeters, processes of erosion may be described by sediment transport theory in which the mass flow rate of sediment is proportional to flow and bottom shear stress, and a critical shear stress can be used to determine incipient motion of a particle resting on the bottom of a stream channel, e.g. Graf (1971), Vanoni (1975). Such a mechanism might apply over pervious areas and in street gutters and larger channels. For thin overland flow, however, rainfall energy can also cause particle detachment and motion. This effect is often incorporated into predictive methods for erosion from pervious areas (Wischmeier and Smith, 1958) and may also apply to washoff from impervious surfaces, although in this latter case, the effect of a limited supply (buildup) of the material must be considered. Washoff Formulation Ammon (1979) reviews several theoretical approaches for urban runoff washoff and concludes that although the sediment transport based theory is attractive, it is often insufficient in practice because of lack of data for parameter (e.g. shear stress) evaluation, sensitivity to time step and discretization and because simpler methods usually work as well (still with some theoretical basis) and are usually able to duplicate observed washoff phenomena. Among the latter, the most oft-cited results are those of Sartor and Boyd (1972), in which constituents were flushed from streets using a sprinkler system. It would appear that an exponential relationship could be developed to describe washoff of the form:
(4-133)
Alternatively, since the amount remaining, PSHED(t), equals PSHEDo - POFF, then:
(4-134)
It is clear that the coefficient, k, is a function of both particle size and runoff rate. An analysis of the Sartor and Boyd (1972) data by Ammon (1979) indicates that k increases with runoff rate, as would be expected, and decreases with particle size. The Sartor and Boyd data lend credibility to the washoff assumption that the rate of washoff (e.g. mg/sec) at any time is proportional to the remaining quantity:
(4-135) The solution of equation 4-135 is equation 4-134. This was first proposed by Mr. Allen J. Burdoin, a consultant to Metcalf and Eddy, during the original SWMM development. The coefficient k may be evaluated by assuming it is proportional to runoff rate, r:
(4-136)
Burdoin assumed that one-half inch of total runoff in one hour would wash off 90 percent of the initial surface load, leading to the now familiar value of RCOEF of 4.6 in.-1. (The actual time distribution of intensity does not affect the calculation of RCOEF.) Sonnen (1980) estimated values for RCOEF from sediment transport theory ranging from 0.052 to 6.6 in.-1, increasing as particle diameter decreases, rainfall intensity decreases, and as catchment area decreases. He pointed out that 4.6 in.-1 is relatively large compared to most of his calculated values. Although the exponential washoff formulation of equations 4-135 and 4-136 is not completely satisfactory as explained below, it has been verified experimentally by Nakamura (1984a, 1984b), who also showed the dependence of the coefficient k on slope, runoff rate and cumulative runoff volume. This exponential formulation did not adequately fit some data, and as a "correction," availability factors of the form
(4-137)
were multiplied by equation 4-133 in order to match measured suspended solids concentrations in Cincinnati and San Francisco (Metcalf and Eddy et al., 1971a). The primary difficulty is that use of equations 4-135 and 4-136 will always produce decreasing concentrations as a function of time regardless of the time distribution of runoff. This is counter-intuitive, since it is expected that high rates during the middle of a storm might indeed produce higher concentrations than those preceding. This may be explained by observing that concentrations are calculated by dividing the load rate (e.g. mg/sec) to obtain the quantity per volume (e.g. mg/L). Thus,
and the constant incorporates conversion factors. Clearly, the concentration will always decrease with time since the runoff rate, r, divides out of the equation and the quantity remaining, PSHED, continues to decrease. This problem is overcome in SWMM by making washoff at each time step, POFF, proportional to runoff rate to a power, WASHPO:
(4-139)
It may be seen that if equation 4-139 is divided by runoff rate to obtain concentration, then concentration is now proportional to rWASHPO-1. Hence, if the increase in runoff rate is sufficient, concentrations can increase during the middle of a storm even if PSHED is diminished. (Equation 4-139 was first suggested in a 1974 report to the Boston District Corps of Engineers, authorship unknown). There are two parameters to be determined, RCOEF and WASHPO. Availability factors of the form of equation 4-137 are no longer used since there is sufficient flexibility for calibration using only equation 4-139. Effects of Parameters In subroutine QSHED of the RUNOFF Module, washoff load rates (e.g. mg/sec) are computed instantaneously at the end of a time step using equation 4-110. They are subsequently combined with other possible inflow loads to a gutter/pipe (link) or inlet (node) before dividing by the total inflow rate to obtain a concentration. The remaining constituent load on the subcatchment at the end of a time step is determined by using the average power of the runoff rate over the time step,
4-114) This calculation is done prior to application of equation 4-139. The average (trapezoidal rule) approximates the integral of rWASHPO over the time step. That the load rate of sediment is proportional to flow rate as in equation 4-139 is supported by both theory and data. For instance, sediment data from streams can usually be described by a sediment rating curve of the form
Due to a hysteresis effect, such relationships may vary during the passing of a flood wave, but the functional form is evident in many rivers, e.g. Vanoni (1975), pp. 220-225, Graf (1971), pp.234-241, and Simons and Senturk (1977), p. 602. Of particular relevance to overland flow washoff is the appearance of similar relationships describing sediment yield from a catchment e.g. Vanoni (1975), pp. 472-481. The exponent b in equation 4-141 corresponds to the exponent WASHPO in equation 4-139, and the presence of the quantity PSHED in equations 4-139 reflects the fact that the total quantity of sediment washed off a largely impervious urban area is likely to be limited to the amount built up during dry weather. Natural catchments and rivers from which equation 4-141 is derived generally have no source limitation. The use of rating curves in their own right is an option in the RUNOFF Module. At this point, however, results from sediment transport theory can be used to provide guidance for the magnitude of parameters WASHPO and RCOEF in equation 4-139. Values of the exponent b in equation 4-141 range between 1.1 and 2.6 for rivers and sediment yield from catchments, with most values near 2.0. Typically, the exponent tends to decrease (approach 1.0) at high flow rates (Vanoni, 1975, p. 476). In the RUNOFF Module, constituent concentrations will follow runoff rates better if WASHPO is higher. A reasonable first guess for WASHPO would appear to be in the range of 1.5-2.5. Values of RCOEF are much harder to infer from the sediment rating curve data since they vary in nature by almost five orders of magnitude. The issue is further complicated by the fact that equation 4-139 includes the quantity remaining to be washed off, PSHED, which decreases steadily during an event. At this point it will suffice to say that values of RCOEF between 1.0 and 10 appear to give concentrations in the range of most observed values in urban runoff. Both RCOEF and WASHPO may be varied in order to calibrate the model to observed data. The preceding discussion assumes that urban runoff quality constituents will behave in some manner similar to "sediment" of sediment transport theory. Since many constituents are in particulate form the assumption may not be too bad. If the concentration of a dissolved constituent is observed to decrease strongly with increasing flow rate, a value of WASHPO < 1.0 could be used. Although the development has ignored the physics of rainfall energy in eroding particles, the runoff rate, r, in equation 4-139 closely follows rainfall intensity. Hence to some degree at least, greater washoff will be experienced with greater rainfall rates. As an option, soil erosion literature could be surveyed to infer a value of WASHPO if erosion is proportional to rainfall intensity to a power. Related Buildup-Washoff Studies Several studies are directly related to the preceding discussions of the SWMM RUNOFF Module water quality routines. The following discussion is by no means exhaustive but does include several studies that have simulated water quality using buildup-washoff mechanisms, rating curves or both. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has performed comprehensive urban hydrologic studies from both a data collection and modeling point of view. For example, their South Florida urban runoff data are described and referenced in the EPA Urban Rainfall-Runoff Quality Data Base (Huber et al., 1981a). Urban rainfall-runoff quantity may be simulated with the USGS distributed Routing Rainfall-Runoff Model (Dawdy et al., 1978; Alley et al., 1980a) which includes simulation of water quality. This is accomplished using a separate program that uses the quantity model results as input. These efforts are described by Alley (1980) and Alley et al. (1980b). Alley (1981) also provides a method for optimal estimation of washoff parameters using measured data. The USGS procedures are based in part upon earlier work of Ellis and Sutherland (1979). These four references all discuss the use of the original SWMM buildup-washoff equations. An application of SWMM RUNOFF and TRANSport modules to two Denver catchments during which buildup-washoff parameters were calibrated is described by Ellis (1978) and Alley and Ellis (1979). Work at the University of Massachusetts has developed procedures for calibration of SWMM RUNOFF Module quality (Jewell et al., 1978a) and for determination of appropriate washoff relationships (Jewell et al., 1978b). Jewell et al. (1980) and Jewell and Adrian (1981) reviewed the supporting data base for buildup-washoff relationships and advocate using local data to develop site specific equations for buildup and washoff. Most of their suggested forms could be simulated using the available functional forms in SWMM. Since several other models use quality formulations similar to those of SWMM, their documentation provides insight into choosing proper SWMM parameters. In particular, most of the STORM calibration procedures (Roesner et al., 1974, HEC, 1977a,b) can be applied also to SWMM (with WASHPO = 1). Inclusion of water quality simulation in ILLUDAS (Terstriep et al., 1978; Han and Delleur, 1979) also is based on SWMM procedures. Finally, modified SWMM routines have been used to simulate water quality in Houston (Diniz, 1978; Bedient et al., 1978). Street Cleaning Street cleaning is performed in most urban areas for control of solids and trash deposited along street gutters. Although it has long been assumed that street cleaning has a beneficial effect upon the quality of urban runoff, until recently (written 1988), few data have been available to quantify this effect. Unless performed on a daily basis, EPA Nationwide Urban Runoff Program (NURP) studies generally found little improvement of runoff quality by street sweeping (EPA, 1983b). The most elaborate studies are probably those of Pitt (1979, 1985) in which street surface loadings were carefully monitored along with runoff quality in order to determine the effectiveness of street cleaning. In San Jose, California (Pitt, 1979) frequent street cleaning on smooth asphalt surfaces (once or twice per day) can remove up to 50 percent of the total solids and heavy metal yields of urban runoff. Under more typical cleaning programs (once or twice a month), less than 5 percent of the total solids and heavy metals in the runoff are removed. Organics and nutrients in the runoff cannot be effectively controlled by intensive street cleaning -- typically much less than 10 percent removal, even for daily cleaning. This is because the latter originate primarily in runoff and erosion from off-street areas during storms. In Bellevue, Washington (Pitt, 1985) similar conclusions were reached, with a maximum projected effectiveness for pollutant removal from runoff of about 10 percent. The removal effectiveness of street cleaning depends upon many factors such as the type of sweeper, whether flushing is included, the presence of parked cars, the quantity of total solids, the constituent being considered, and the relative frequency of rainfall events. Obviously, if street sweeping is performed infrequently in relation to rainfall events, it will not be effective. Removal efficiencies for several constituents are available in tables (Pitt, 1979). Clearly, efficiencies are greater for constituents that behave as particulates. Constituent FractionsAs previously discussed, the original SWMM RUNOFF Module quality routines were based on the 1969 APWA study in Chicago (APWA, 1969). A particular aspect of that study that led to modifications to the first buildup-washoff formulation was that the Chicago quality data (e.g. Table 4-18) were reported for the soluble fraction only, i.e., the samples were filtered prior to chemical analysis. Hence, they could not represent the total content of, say, BOD5 in the stormwater. In calibration of SWMM in San Francisco and Cincinnati, 5% of computed suspended solids was added to BOD5 to account for the insoluble fraction. This provided a reasonable BOD5 calibration in both cities. The Version II release of SWMM (Huber et al., 1975) followed the STORM model (Roesner et al., 1974) and added to BOD5, N and PO4 fractions of both suspended solids and settleable solids. Adding a fraction from settleable solids is double counting, however, since it is no more than a fraction of suspended solids itself. Furthermore, all the fractions in SWMM and STORM were basically just assumed from calibration exercises as opposed to being measured from field samples. Agricultural models, such as NPS (Donigian and Crawford, 1976), ARM (Donigian et al., 1977) and HSPF (Johanson et al., 1980) also relate other constituent mass load rates and concentrations to that of "solids," usually "sediment" computed by an erosion equation. The ratio of constituent to "solids" is then called a "potency factor" and for some constituents is the only means by which their concentrations are computed. The approach works well when constituents are transported in solid form, either as particulates or by adsorption onto soil particles. This approach can also be used in SWMM. For instance, one constituent could represent "solids" and be computed by any of the means available (i.e., buildup-washoff, rating curve, Universal Soil Loss Equation). Other constituents could then be treated simply as a fraction of "solids." The fractions (potency factors) are input. As a refinement, two or more constituents could represent "solids" in different particle size ranges, and fractions of each summed to predict other constituents. Again, this approach will not work well for constituents that are transported primarily in a dissolved state, e.g. NO3. Available Information In an effort to evaluate potency factors for various constituents in both urban and agricultural runoff, Zison (1980) examined available data and developed regression relationships as a function of suspended solids and other parameters. His only urban catchments were three from Seattle, taken from the Urban Rainfall-Runoff-Quality Data Base (Huber et al., 1981a), for which several water quality and storm event parameters were available. Unfortunately, statistically meaningful results could only be obtained using log-transformed data, and simple fractions of the type required for input are seldom reported. Zison (1980) acknowledged this and suggested that model modifications might be made or piecewise-linear approximations made to the power function relationship. In any event, Zison related the total constituent concentration (not just the nonsoluble portion) to other parameters. Hence, for their use in SWMM the buildup-washoff portion would need to be "zeroed out," (easily accomplished), as suggested earlier. Other reports also provide some insight as to potential values for the constituent fractions. For instance, Sartor and Boyd (1972), Shaheen (1975) and Manning et al. (1977) report particle size distributions for several constituents. However, the distributions refer principally to fractions of constituents appearing as "dust and dirt," not to fractions of total concentration, soluble plus nonsoluble. Finally, Pitt and Amy (1973) give fractions (and surface loadings) for heavy metals. If constituent fractions are used in SWMM, local samples should identify the soluble (filterable) and nonsoluble fractions for the constituents of interest. Alternatively, the fractions may be avoided altogether by treating the buildup-washoff or rating curve approach as one for the total concentration, thus eliminating the need to break constituents into more than one form. Precipitation Contributions - ChemistryThere is now considerable public awareness of the fact that precipitation is by no means "pure" and does not have characteristics of distilled water. Low pH (acid rain) is the best known parameter but many substances can also be found in precipitation, including organics, solids, nutrients, metals and pesticides. Compared to surface sources, rainfall is probably an important contributor mainly of some nutrients, although it may contribute substantially to other constituents as well. In particular, Kluesener and Lee (1974) found ammonia levels in rainfall higher than in runoff in a residential catchment in Madison, Wisconsin; rainfall nitrate accounted for 20% to 90% of the nitrate in stormwater runoff to Lake Wingra. Mattraw and Sherwood (1977) report similar findings for nitrate and total nitrogen for a residential area near Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Data from the latter study are presented in Table 4-28 in which rainfall may be seen to be an important contributor to all nitrogen forms, plus COD, although the instance of a higher COD value in rainfall than in runoff is probably anomalous. In addition to the two references first cited, Weibel et al. (1964, 1966) report concentrations of constituents in Cincinnati rainfall (Table 4-20), and a summary is also given by Manning et al. (1977). Other data on rainfall chemistry and loadings is given by Betson (1977), Hendry and Brezonik (1980), Novotny and Kincaid (1981) and Randall et al. (1981). A comprehensive summary is presented by Brezonik (1975) from which it may be seen in Table 4-29 that there is a wide range of concentrations observed in rainfall. Again, the most important parameters relative to urban runoff are probably the various nitrogen forms. Uttormark et al. (1974) provide annual nitrogen (and phosphorus) precipitation loading values (kg/ha-yr) for many cities regionally for the U.S. and Canada. It should be remembered that considerable seasonal variability may exist. These may be easily converted to precipitation concentrations required for SWMM input if the local rainfall is known, since 10 x kg/ha-yr / cm/yr = mg/l. For instance, annual NH3-N + NO3-N loadings at Miami are almost 2 kg/ha-yr, and annual rainfall is 60 in. (152 cm). From the above, the inorganic nitrogen concentration is 10 x 2/152 = 0.13 mg/l which compares quite favorably with the sum of NH3-N and NO3-N concentrations for two of the three Ft. Lauderdale storms given in Table 4-28. For a better breakdown of nitrogen forms, see Table 17 of Uttormark et al. (1974). Table 4-28. Rainfall and Runoff Concentrations For a Residential Area Near Fort Lauderdale, Florida (after Mattraw and Sherwood, 1977)
Table 4-29. Representative Concentrations in Rainfall.
a Range for three storms bAverage of 35 Storms cSum of NH3-N, NO2 N, NO3-N Urban ErosionErosion and sedimentation are often cited as a major problem related to urban runoff. They not only contribute to degradation of land surfaces and soil loss but also to adverse receiving water quality and sedimentation in channels and sewer networks. Several ways exist to analyze erosion from the land surface (e.g. Vanoni, 1975), the most sophisticated of which include calculations of the shear stress exerted on soil particles by overland flow and/or the influence of rainfall energy in dislodging them. In keeping with the simplified quality procedures included in the rest of the RUNOFF Module, a widely-used empirical approach, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE), has been adapted for use in SWMM. Full details and further information on the USLE are given by Heaney et al. (1975). Universal Soil Loss EquationThe USLE was derived from statistical analyses of soil loss and associated data obtained in 40 years of research by the Agricultural Research Service (ARS) and assembled at the ARS runoff and soil loss data center at Purdue University. The data include more that 250,000 runoff events at 48 research stations in 26 states, representing about 10,000 plot-years of erosion studies under natural rain. It was developed by Wischmeier and Smith (1958) as an estimate of the average annual soil erosion from rainstorms for a given upland area, L, expressed as the average annual soil loss per unit area, (tons per acre per year):
(4-148)
This equation represents a comprehensive attempt at relating the major factors in soil erosion. It is used in SWMM to predict the average soil loss for a given storm or time period. It is recognized that the USLE was not developed for making predictions based on specific rainfall events. There are many random variables which tend to cancel out when predicting individual storm yields. For example, the initial soil moisture condition, or antecedent moisture condition, is a parameter which cannot routinely be determined directly and used reliably. It should be understood by the SWMM user that equation 4-145 enables land management planners to estimate gross erosion rates for a wide range of rainfall, soil, slope, crop, and management conditions. -----excerpt ends Sensitivity, calibration and error analysis: Note that the inherent uncertainty is not reported in SWMM RUNOFF computed results. Sensitivity, calibration and error analysis (SCEA) is an important part of modelling. Instead of covering SCEA in detail on this page, I provide here a link to an unfinished preliminary draft booklet on SCEA for SWMM modelling. This part is provided by Dr Heathcote, and summarises her lecture.
Step 1: What is the problem? 1. What are the use impairments? --Create a long list. 2. Why is each use impaired? What parameters do people use as decision criteria in deciding that the use is no longer viable? 3. What parameters could YOU use to track changes in the condition of the water body as it relates to each use? 4. Which parameters can you (a) measure; (b) find existing data for; or (c) model? 5. Of your long list of use impairments, which are the two or three that are most important to you and your group of stakeholders (see Step 2)? 6. For each of these two or three use impairments, what are the best indicator parameters of a healthy condition? Be specific--"bacteria" isn't good enough; "fecal coliforms" is better; but "E. coli" is better still. 7. What specific numerical targets do you wish to meet, to consider that the impaired use has been restored (e.g. total phosphorus < 0.02 mg/L)? 8. During what time periods do you want these targets to apply? All the time? During the summer only? During dry weather only?
Step 2: Who has a stake in the problem? 1. Which governments might have a stake in the problem?
2. Which industries might have a stake in the problem? For example, (a) direct dischargers to watercourses (b) direct dischargers to air (c) users of municipal sewer systems (d) truck washing operations; storage/shipping/handling sites 3. Which members of the public might have a stake in the problem? For example, (a) local residents and their associations (b) medical community (c) legal community other special interest groups (e.g. Trout Unlimited; aboriginal groups; It's Not Garbage Coalition; Citizens for Safe Sewage) Step 3: Who will choose a solution? You need advice throughout the decision process. Ideally your advisors should form a group of less than 30 people, all of whom should be involved throughout the ten-step problem resolution process, including decisions about "what is the problem?"
Step 4: How will you evaluate solutions? 1. What parameters will you use to make decisions? 2. What kinds of information will be useful in making decisions (e.g. load reductions from land sources? instream water quality? average contributions from a given source, etc.)? 3. Over what time period (days, hours, seasons, years) would predictions be helpful? In other words, is it enough to know that average annual phosphorus will decline by 0.2 ppm under Scenario 4? Or do you need to know max/min phosphorus throughout a particular rain storm? 4. What computer models or other predictive tools are available for the parameters you wish to evaluate? Are you satisfied that each predicts the variable(s) of interest to you in a realistic fashion? 5. What are the input data requirements for each model you could use? 6. What data have already been collected for the watershed system you are interested in? 7. What hardware/software does each model require? Is the required system available to you? Is sufficient memory, hard disk space, etc. available to you? 8. Of all the available models for the time period and parameters of interest, which will be easiest to use and/or require input data closest to that which you have available and/or be most realistic or accurate in its predictions?
Step 5: What are all the sources of the problem? 1. What point sources (pipe discharges) contribute loads of the pollutant to the system of interest? 2. What non-point, diffuse sources contribute loads of the pollutant to the system of interest? 3. Using "best professional judgement" estimate which of the point and non-point sources are "major" and which are "minor." In other words, which are likely to contribute a large portion of the total load, and which a relatively small portion? 4. Which of these point and non-point sources are controllable with reasonable effort? For example, bank erosion is probably controllable, while atmospheric CO2 concentrations probably are not. Similarly, high instream solids is probably controllable, while low instream pH probably is not. Don't waste your time trying to model and plan reductions for uncontrollable sources! Step 6: What are all the receivers of the problem? 1. What physical systems are affected by the pollutant? Physical systems could include natural or constructed streams, sewers, ponds, roads, and buildings. For some pollutants, volatilization to the atmosphere can also be a major "loss" from the system. 2. What chemical systems are affected by the pollutant? Do high or low levels of the pollutant of interest influence other contaminants? For example, pH may affect concentrations of dissolved metals; pH and temperature may affect un-ionized ammonia concentrations. 3. What biological systems are affected by the pollutant? Consider both aquatic and terrestrial plant and animal (including human) populations. Biota may be affected in many ways: acute (immediate) or chronic (subtle, long-term) toxicity; habitat changes; changes in contaminant body burden; reproductive changes; gill- clogging (e.g. for sediment), etc. Step 7. How do the sources and receivers behave in space and time? 1. For each parameter under study, compile data on the following:
2. Lay out the requirements of your proposed scenario testing system, including desired time step and physical locations. Compare available data with this list. What gaps exist in available data? 3. For each gap, determine:
4. If you cannot fill your data gaps adequately, is there another model that might fit your available data better? Step 8: What are all the possible solutions to the problem? 1. Brainstorm; create a long list of options: (a) Do nothing: In some systems (the English-Wabigoon River system, contaminated with mercury in sediments from historical discharges, is one example), just leaving the system alone will eventually result in some improvement. In most systems, it will be useful to model the "do nothing" option as a base case, or foundation, against which other management scenarios can be compared. (b) Structural Treatment Measures: In most systems, it is possible to build something--a treatment plant, a stormwater pond, a grassed waterway, a sedimentation basin, etc.--that will result in some water quality improvement. Create a long list of structural measures ("technologies") that may be useful in reducing loads of the pollutant(s) you are examining. Manuals such as Tom Schueler's BMP manual and the Ontario Ministry of Environment's BMP manual may be helpful in this. Planting shade trees could be considered a structural measure even though it doesn't involve "building" a structure or installing a mechanical technology. (c) Non-structural or Management Measures: In some systems, so- called "management" measures may be as or more effective than structural measures; they are, however, often harder to implement because they require behavioural changes. Such measures might include "stoop and scoop" by-laws (and enforcement) for control of pet excrement in urban systems. In agricultural systems, non- structural measures could include tillage and cropping practices such as contour plowing and intercropping. 2. Consult with stakeholders to check, refine and expand your list. Step 9: Which solutions work best? 1. Reduce your "long list" to a short list of feasible options for your site. (a) Rule out any options that are inappropriate for the physical conditions (soils, climate, infrastructure, development, etc.) of your site. Document and explain your decisions. (b) Rule out any options that are clearly too costly for your client (but document and explain this decision; it could change at a later time). Such a decision should be made in consultation with your client. (c) Try to rule out options that are unlikely to have a significant effect on loadings (unless they are very low in cost). Don't guess: use a simple predictive model, spreadsheet, or literature values to estimate impacts. Document and explain your decisions. 2. Test your "short list" of options singly: (a) Decide whether you want to model only present conditions or also one or more future development scenarios. If the latter, obtain any available land-use planning forecasts, for example from the municipality's Official Plan, to give you an idea of future population densities and land uses. (b) Develop a list of management scenarios to be modelled. These should include: (i) "Do nothing" cases for the present and also for any separate future scenarios. (ii) Scenarios that examine the impact of a single management option applied to the greatest possible effect ("best case" for that option). Model both present and future conditions, if applicable. (iii) Scenarios that examine the impact of a single option applied to a portion of the basin (e.g. a portion of the total stream length; or 50% of farms; or some similar scenario). This type of scenario might be used to model various levels of stakeholder (e.g. farmer) willingness to implement a given management practice. Model both present and future conditions, if applicable. 3. Rule out any ineffective options: (a) Decide with your client and stakeholder group what level of performance constitutes adequate effectiveness (e.g. 20% removal of phosphorus; 10% reduction in instream temperature). This is essentially an arbitrary decision but again should be documented and explained. (b) Perform your model runs and examine the results of your single- option runs and eliminate any options that do not meet your desired performance targets. Document and explain your decisions. 4. Conduct final testing: (a) Decide which options you will include in final testing and combine them into appropriate scenarios. For example, you might want to group all the agricultural tillage/cropping measures into one scenario; all the urban stormwater management options into a second; and so on. Finally, construct some "cadillac" scenarios combining all possible actions into a single plan. Don't forget to model both present case and future land use cases, and always document and explain why you have included/excluded options in each scenario. (b) Perform your model runs and summarize the results of all modelling (single and multi-option scenarios) in a table, showing the effectiveness and cost of each "plan."
Step 10: Which solution will be easiest to implement? 1. Consult your client and stakeholder group to determine any obstacles to implementation: (a) If you have included your stakeholder group meaningfully in your decision making, they will have advised you of potential obstacles to implementation early in your planning. Nevertheless, it is important to present the results of your final testing to the decision-making group. Obstacles may become apparent at this stage that have not been identified previously. (b) Do NOT present a single option to your decision-making group for approval. Instead, present them with the top 3-5 or even more plans, with advantages, disadvantages, costs and performance. Let them make the decision. If requested by your client, you may of course identify a single option that in your view is preferred, but you must provide enough information on alternative approaches so that your audience can participate in the final decision making. (c) Eliminate any options, however effective, that will present significant obstacles to implementation. It's better to have a less effective plan fully implemented than a very effective plan that never sees the light of day. (d) Where you have identified obstacles, determine (with your client and stakeholder group) whether there is any way to surmount them, for instance through financial compensation, additional structures or technologies, etc. Note that some obstacles will remain no matter what you do: for instance, farmers are not usually keen to give up their land for a dam project; neither are aboriginal groups going to be happy about use of heritage/spiritual lands for pollution-control purposes. But some obstacles (e.g. property value concerns) may be manageable. Allow up to 6 h for reading, and up to 12 h for writing your web page. This means perhaps that you will have to read selectively, and spend considerable time digging up data for your local problem. Spend a few minutes at the outset ranking the assigned reading according to your own priorities. It's OK if you are not able to complete all the suggested reading. Feel free to criticize our notes; there are lots of textbooks with different viewpoints. You are expected to apply ideas in this module to a local problem in the area where you live. Start by naming and describing a potential water pollution control problem of interest to you, one with good chance of getting a handle on the facts (try to get a problem with reports available form a local authority or consultant). You are required to apply the main points as you see them in our above notes. As I say, what would interest us most, is your focus on possible applications to problems in your area. Present the discussion as a brief summary on your web page, covering as many of the following suggested points as you can (these thanks to Isobel Heathcote): 1. What is the problem you are trying to fix ("pollution" isnt a problem. But a use impairment is a problem - e.g. cant drink the water, cant swim, cant fish). 2. How do you know its a problem - what indicators are there that a problem exists? Choose variables on which to concentrate. 3. For whom is it a problem? Who are the stakeholders? How do their views of the situation differ? 4. What are all the sources of the problem? 5. What physical, biological, or chemical systems affect or are affected by the problem? i.e. advection in a river, biomagnification, etc. 6. How do the sources and receivers behave in space and time - i.e. what are the sources of variability? 7. What are all the possible solutions to the problem? 8. Which solutions are feasible (i.e. meet cost, space, time, etc. constraints)? 9. How will you evaluate the remaining feasible solutions (e.g., which model(s) will you use)? 10. What criteria will you use to evaluate "best" performance of the various solutions? 11. How does each feasible solution perform on each decision criterion? 12. What is the preferred solution? 13. What implementation obstacles might exist? How might you overcome these obstacles? sorry not available yet Legal, institutional and administrative concerns sorry not available yet Environmental and social impact assessment sorry not available yet sorry not available yet sorry not available yet sorry not available yet sorry not available yet |
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